League Two Predictions & Betting Tips
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Oldham Athletic are the model's strongest League Two favourites in the next few days, with a 55% chance of beating Crawley Town. 11 upcoming games are below with win, draw, BTTS and over 2.5 goals probabilities, followed by the projected final table.
League Two predictions: next 11 games
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby Town vs York City | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 | 45% | 25% | 30% | 57% | 54% |
| Port Vale vs Rochdale | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 | 41% | 30% | 28% | 40% | 33% |
| Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 50% | 29% | 21% | 38% | 34% |
| Colchester United vs Walsall | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 30% | 29% | 41% | 44% | 38% |
| Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 39% | 24% | 37% | 62% | 60% |
| Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 52% | 49% |
| Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 55% | 23% | 22% | 55% | 56% |
| Salford City vs Exeter City | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 46% | 31% | 22% | 34% | 28% |
| Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 43% | 25% | 32% | 56% | 53% |
| Swindon Town vs Rotherham United | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 52% | 49% |
| Tranmere Rovers vs Cheltenham Town | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 49% | 23% | 27% | 59% | 58% |
Open any match for expected goals, likely scores, corners, cards and form.
Predicted League Two final table 2026-27
| # | Team | Pts now | Projected pts | Title | Top 3 (promoted) | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 28 | 80 | 41% | 76% | 0% |
| 2 | Barnet | 25 | 78 | 30% | 67% | 0% |
| 3 | Walsall | 19 | 71 | 7% | 31% | 0% |
| 4 | York City | 20 | 69 | 5% | 22% | 0% |
| 5 | Accrington Stanley | 18 | 68 | 4% | 19% | 0% |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 19 | 68 | 3% | 18% | 0% |
| 7 | Crewe Alexandra | 21 | 66 | 2% | 12% | 1% |
| 8 | Cheltenham Town | 21 | 66 | 2% | 12% | 1% |
| 9 | Exeter City | 19 | 65 | 1% | 9% | 1% |
| 10 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 65 | 2% | 10% | 1% |
| 11 | Gillingham | 17 | 62 | 0% | 4% | 3% |
| 12 | Tranmere Rovers | 16 | 62 | 0% | 4% | 3% |
| 13 | Newport County | 15 | 61 | 0% | 3% | 4% |
| 14 | Shrewsbury Town | 18 | 61 | 0% | 3% | 4% |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 16 | 60 | 0% | 2% | 6% |
| 16 | Northampton Town | 13 | 59 | 0% | 3% | 7% |
| 17 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 59 | 0% | 2% | 8% |
| 18 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 58 | 0% | 1% | 9% |
| 19 | Oldham Athletic | 12 | 56 | 0% | 1% | 14% |
| 20 | Colchester United | 12 | 56 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 21 | Port Vale | 12 | 56 | 0% | 1% | 16% |
| 22 | Rochdale | 15 | 55 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 23 | Rotherham United | 12 | 53 | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 6 | 47 | 0% | 0% | 61% |
We play every remaining League Two fixture 5,000 times from the model. Ratings for this projection are pulled more strongly towards the league average, so a hot start alone doesn't decide the title. Play-offs aren't simulated.
Current League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | +9 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | +10 | 25 |
| 3 | Cheltenham Town | 13 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe Alexandra | 13 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | York City | 13 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury Town | 13 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby Town | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere Rovers | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton Town | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham Athletic | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester United | 12 | -5 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham United | 13 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | -9 | 6 |
Full table, corners, cards and shots: League Two stats.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League Two result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who is top of the League Two?
Salford City, with 28 points from 13 games (results up to 27 October).
Who will win the League Two?
Our model makes Salford City favourites, finishing top in 41% of simulated seasons.
How are these League Two predictions made?
From every result this season: each team gets an attack and a defence rating, adjusted for home advantage, and the model turns those into goal probabilities. Team news isn't included.