Port Vale vs Rochdale Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Port Vale favourites: Port Vale 41%, draw 30%, Rochdale 28%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time (League Two). Expected goals are 1.15–0.90, and both teams score in 40% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Port Vale
- 41%
- fair 2.41
- Draw
- 30%
- fair 3.32
- Rochdale
- 28%
- fair 3.52
Port Vale vs Rochdale prediction
The model expects 1.15 goals from Port Vale and 0.90 from Rochdale. Both teams to score is 40% likely, and over 2.5 goals 33%. The three most likely scores are 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.0 (Port Vale 5.6, Rochdale 4.4). Over 9.5 corners: 53%.
- Expected cards: 3.5. Over 3.5 cards: 46%. Referee: E Heaslip, who averages 4.50 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 23 | 12 | L W W D L |
| Rochdale | 17 | 15 | W D L D L |
- York City 2–0 Port Vale
- Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale
- Port Vale 1–0 Chesterfield
- Rochdale 0–5 Accrington Stanley
- Rochdale 2–2 Grimsby Town
- Crewe Alexandra 3–2 Rochdale
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League Two game on our League Two predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League Two result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Our model gives Port Vale a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Rochdale 28%.
What time is Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Rochdale?
The model puts both teams to score at 40%.