Today's Football Predictions
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
There are 9 games today in the leagues we cover (Championship, League Two, National League, Scottish Championship, La Liga, Bundesliga and Ligue 1), starting with Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain at 18:00 UK time. Model probabilities for each are below.
Other leagues today
Championship
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United vs Wrexham | Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 | 48% | 25% | 26% | 52% | 49% |
League Two
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County vs Chesterfield | Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 | 41% | 25% | 33% | 56% | 52% |
National League
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde vs Hornchurch | Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 | 55% | 23% | 23% | 57% | 58% |
Scottish Championship
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir vs Livingston | Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 | 42% | 31% | 27% | 37% | 30% |
La Liga
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal vs Espanyol | Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 | 52% | 24% | 24% | 53% | 52% |
Bundesliga
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg vs Mainz | Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 | 47% | 20% | 33% | 74% | 76% |
Ligue 1
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain | Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 | 23% | 23% | 55% | 57% | 58% |
| Nice vs Rennes | Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 | 37% | 24% | 39% | 61% | 59% |
| Lille vs Lens | Fri 30 Oct, 20:05 | 47% | 25% | 28% | 54% | 51% |
How these numbers are made
Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Premier League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence and adjusting for home advantage. Early in the season ratings are pulled towards the league average. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Other leagues use the same model, built from Football-Data.co.uk results; their fixtures appear a few days before kick-off. Data updated 30 October at 22:15 UK time.