Grimsby Town vs York City Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Grimsby Town favourites: Grimsby Town 45%, draw 25%, York City 30%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time (League Two). Expected goals are 1.59–1.26, and both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Grimsby Town
- 45%
- fair 2.22
- Draw
- 25%
- fair 4.06
- York City
- 30%
- fair 3.30
Grimsby Town vs York City prediction
The model expects 1.59 goals from Grimsby Town and 1.26 from York City. Both teams to score is 57% likely, and over 2.5 goals 54%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 11.8 (Grimsby Town 6.6, York City 5.2). Over 9.5 corners: 72%.
- Expected cards: 4.4. Over 3.5 cards: 62%. Referee: A Jackson.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby Town | 11 | 17 | L L L D W |
| York City | 5 | 20 | D D D W L |
- Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby Town
- Rochdale 2–2 Grimsby Town
- Grimsby Town 0–2 Northampton Town
- Barnet 3–1 York City
- York City 2–0 Port Vale
- York City 1–1 Accrington Stanley
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League Two game on our League Two predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League Two result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Grimsby Town vs York City?
Our model gives Grimsby Town a 45% chance, the draw 25% and York City 30%.
What time is Grimsby Town vs York City?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Grimsby Town vs York City?
The model puts both teams to score at 57%.