Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Accrington Stanley favourites: Accrington Stanley 50%, draw 29%, Northampton Town 21%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League Two). Expected goals are 1.31–0.75, and both teams score in 38% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Accrington Stanley
- 50%
- fair 2.00
- Draw
- 29%
- fair 3.49
- Northampton Town
- 21%
- fair 4.71
Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town prediction
The model expects 1.31 goals from Accrington Stanley and 0.75 from Northampton Town. Both teams to score is 38% likely, and over 2.5 goals 34%. The three most likely scores are 1-0 (17%), 0-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.6 (Accrington Stanley 5.0, Northampton Town 4.7). Over 9.5 corners: 49%.
- Expected cards: 4.1. Over 3.5 cards: 56%. Referee: N Smith.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington Stanley | 9 | 18 | W D W D W |
| Northampton Town | 19 | 13 | L D W L W |
- Rochdale 0–5 Accrington Stanley
- York City 1–1 Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley 3–1 Gillingham
- Northampton Town 2–0 Colchester United
- Northampton Town 0–1 Tranmere Rovers
- Grimsby Town 0–2 Northampton Town
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League Two game on our League Two predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League Two result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town?
Our model gives Accrington Stanley a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Northampton Town 21%.
What time is Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town?
The model puts both teams to score at 38%.