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TheyShoot

Swindon Town vs Rotherham United Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Swindon Town favourites: Swindon Town 50%, draw 25%, Rotherham United 25%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League Two). Expected goals are 1.60–1.05, and both teams score in 52% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Swindon Town
50%
fair 2.00
Draw
25%
fair 4.00
Rotherham United
25%
fair 4.01

Swindon Town vs Rotherham United prediction

The model expects 1.60 goals from Swindon Town and 1.05 from Rotherham United. Both teams to score is 52% likely, and over 2.5 goals 49%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 9.9 (Swindon Town 4.8, Rotherham United 5.1). Over 9.5 corners: 52%.
  • Expected cards: 2.6. Over 3.5 cards: 27%. Referee: I Searle, who averages 3.25 cards per game this season.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Swindon Town1416L L D W D
Rotherham United2212L L L D D
  • Bristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
  • Barnet 1–3 Swindon Town
  • Swindon Town 1–1 Walsall
  • Rotherham United 3–3 Shrewsbury Town
  • Rotherham United 2–2 Newport County
  • Fleetwood Town 2–0 Rotherham United

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League Two game on our League Two predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League Two result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Swindon Town vs Rotherham United?

Our model gives Swindon Town a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Rotherham United 25%.

What time is Swindon Town vs Rotherham United?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.

Will both teams score in Swindon Town vs Rotherham United?

The model puts both teams to score at 52%.

Next steps