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TheyShoot

Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Oldham Athletic favourites: Oldham Athletic 55%, draw 23%, Crawley Town 22%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League Two). Expected goals are 1.83–1.08, and both teams score in 55% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Oldham Athletic
55%
fair 1.82
Draw
23%
fair 4.38
Crawley Town
22%
fair 4.52

Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town prediction

The model expects 1.83 goals from Oldham Athletic and 1.08 from Crawley Town. Both teams to score is 55% likely, and over 2.5 goals 56%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 10.8 (Oldham Athletic 6.5, Crawley Town 4.3). Over 9.5 corners: 62%.
  • Expected cards: 5.0. Over 3.5 cards: 71%. Referee: D Rock.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Oldham Athletic2012L D W L D
Crawley Town246L D L L D
  • Barnet 1–1 Oldham Athletic
  • Walsall 3–0 Oldham Athletic
  • Oldham Athletic 4–1 Cheltenham Town
  • Crawley Town 1–1 Tranmere Rovers
  • Crawley Town 2–3 Shrewsbury Town
  • Salford City 2–1 Crawley Town

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League Two game on our League Two predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League Two result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town?

Our model gives Oldham Athletic a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Crawley Town 22%.

What time is Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.

Will both teams score in Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town?

The model puts both teams to score at 55%.

Next steps