Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Shrewsbury Town favourites: Shrewsbury Town 43%, draw 25%, Gillingham 32%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League Two). Expected goals are 1.53–1.27, and both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Shrewsbury Town
- 43%
- fair 2.31
- Draw
- 25%
- fair 4.00
- Gillingham
- 32%
- fair 3.16
Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham prediction
The model expects 1.53 goals from Shrewsbury Town and 1.27 from Gillingham. Both teams to score is 56% likely, and over 2.5 goals 53%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.7 (Shrewsbury Town 6.3, Gillingham 3.3). Over 9.5 corners: 49%.
- Expected cards: 5.1. Over 3.5 cards: 72%. Referee: N Hair, who averages 5.33 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town | 10 | 18 | W L W W D |
| Gillingham | 12 | 17 | D W L D L |
- Rotherham United 3–3 Shrewsbury Town
- Crawley Town 2–3 Shrewsbury Town
- Shrewsbury Town 1–0 Bristol Rovers
- Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby Town
- Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale
- Accrington Stanley 3–1 Gillingham
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League Two game on our League Two predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League Two result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham?
Our model gives Shrewsbury Town a 43% chance, the draw 25% and Gillingham 32%.
What time is Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham?
The model puts both teams to score at 56%.