Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Crewe Alexandra favourites: Crewe Alexandra 39%, draw 24%, Barnet 37%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League Two). Expected goals are 1.57–1.54, and both teams score in 62% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Crewe Alexandra
- 39%
- fair 2.58
- Draw
- 24%
- fair 4.20
- Barnet
- 37%
- fair 2.67
Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet prediction
The model expects 1.57 goals from Crewe Alexandra and 1.54 from Barnet. Both teams to score is 62% likely, and over 2.5 goals 60%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.2 (Crewe Alexandra 4.8, Barnet 5.4). Over 9.5 corners: 55%.
- Expected cards: 4.2. Over 3.5 cards: 58%. Referee: H Blair, who averages 4.67 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra | 4 | 21 | W W W L L |
| Barnet | 2 | 25 | W W L D W |
- Chesterfield 5–1 Crewe Alexandra
- Exeter City 2–0 Crewe Alexandra
- Crewe Alexandra 3–2 Rochdale
- Barnet 3–1 York City
- Barnet 1–1 Oldham Athletic
- Barnet 1–3 Swindon Town
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League Two game on our League Two predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League Two result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet?
Our model gives Crewe Alexandra a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Barnet 37%.
What time is Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet?
The model puts both teams to score at 62%.