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TheyShoot

Scottish Premiership Predictions & Tips

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Celtic are the model's strongest Scottish Premiership favourites in the next few days, with a 52% chance of beating Falkirk. 3 upcoming games are below with win, draw, BTTS and over 2.5 goals probabilities.

Scottish Premiership predictions: next 3 games

Model probabilities for upcoming Scottish Premiership games
MatchKick-off (UK)HomeDrawAwayBTTSOver 2.5
Kilmarnock vs St JohnstoneSat 31 Oct, 15:0032%24%44%59%57%
Motherwell vs St MirrenSat 31 Oct, 15:0045%25%31%58%55%
Falkirk vs CelticSun 1 Nov, 13:0023%25%52%49%47%

Open any match for expected goals, likely scores, corners, cards and form.

Current Scottish Premiership table

Scottish Premiership table
#TeamPGDPts
1Celtic11+1928
2Rangers11+1024
3Hearts11+720
4Dundee11+417
5Dundee United11016
6Falkirk11+115
7St Mirren11-714
8St Johnstone11-413
9Aberdeen11-211
10Motherwell11-79
11Hibernian11-68
12Kilmarnock11-158

Full table, corners, cards and shots: Scottish Premiership stats.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Scottish Premiership result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who is top of the Scottish Premiership?

Celtic, with 28 points from 11 games (results up to 28 October).

How are these Scottish Premiership predictions made?

From every result this season: each team gets an attack and a defence rating, adjusted for home advantage, and the model turns those into goal probabilities. Team news isn't included.

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