Premier League Predictions & Betting Tips
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Brentford are the model's strongest favourites this round, with a 57% chance of beating Nottingham Forest. The closest game is Liverpool vs Arsenal, where a draw is 29% likely. Every upcoming Premier League match is below with win, draw, BTTS and over 2.5 goals probabilities.
Premier League predictions: next 10 games
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea vs Man Utd | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 | 55% | 20% | 25% | 67% | 70% |
| Bournemouth vs Leeds | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 35% | 28% | 37% | 49% | 43% |
| Coventry City vs Sunderland | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 41% | 28% | 32% | 49% | 43% |
| Man City vs Brighton | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 38% | 22% | 40% | 69% | 69% |
| Brentford vs Nott'm Forest | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 57% | 24% | 19% | 45% | 45% |
| Hull City vs Ipswich Town | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 51% | 24% | 25% | 55% | 53% |
| Spurs vs Crystal Palace | Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 | 55% | 23% | 22% | 54% | 54% |
| Aston Villa vs Fulham | Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 | 41% | 28% | 32% | 48% | 43% |
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 | 33% | 29% | 38% | 44% | 38% |
| Newcastle vs Everton | Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 | 42% | 26% | 32% | 53% | 49% |
Open any match for expected goals, the most likely scores, form and fair odds.
How to use these predictions
Compare the model's fair odds with the price you can get. If a bookmaker's decimal odds are higher than the fair odds, the price is bigger than the model thinks it should be. Team news matters: check our betting news before kick-off, because the model doesn't know about injuries announced today.
How these numbers are made
Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Premier League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence and adjusting for home advantage. Early in the season ratings are pulled towards the league average. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 21:15 UK time.
Coming soon
- Pundit tracker
- AI predictions
- Title odds
- Relegation odds
- Golden Boot odds
- Season preview
- Boxing Day
- Deadline day
FAQs
How accurate are these Premier League predictions?
They are probabilities, not certainties: a 60% favourite should lose or draw about 4 times in 10. Our tip record will show how our tipsters' picks perform over time.
When are the predictions updated?
After every result and every hour on match days, when new fixtures data arrives.