Villarreal vs Espanyol Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Villarreal favourites: Villarreal 52%, draw 24%, Espanyol 24%. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 UK time (La Liga). Expected goals are 1.68–1.07, and both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Villarreal
- 52%
- fair 1.94
- Draw
- 24%
- fair 4.13
- Espanyol
- 24%
- fair 4.12
Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction
The model expects 1.68 goals from Villarreal and 1.07 from Espanyol. Both teams to score is 53% likely, and over 2.5 goals 52%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.8 (Villarreal 7.8, Espanyol 3.0). Over 9.5 corners: 60%.
- Expected cards: 5.6. Over 3.5 cards: 81%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 10 | 12 | W W L D W |
| Espanyol | 18 | 8 | L L D L L |
- Valencia 1–2 Villarreal
- Villarreal 0–0 Elche
- Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal
- Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
- Espanyol 0–1 Atlético Madrid
- Málaga 1–1 Espanyol
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every La Liga game on our La Liga predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 26 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every La Liga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Our model gives Villarreal a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Espanyol 24%.
What time is Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Espanyol?
The model puts both teams to score at 53%.