Stenhousemuir vs Livingston Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Stenhousemuir favourites: Stenhousemuir 42%, draw 31%, Livingston 27%. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 UK time (Scottish Championship). Expected goals are 1.11–0.82, and both teams score in 37% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Stenhousemuir
- 42%
- fair 2.37
- Draw
- 31%
- fair 3.22
- Livingston
- 27%
- fair 3.73
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston prediction
The model expects 1.11 goals from Stenhousemuir and 0.82 from Livingston. Both teams to score is 37% likely, and over 2.5 goals 30%. The three most likely scores are 1-0 (16%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.1 (Stenhousemuir 4.6, Livingston 5.5). Over 9.5 corners: 53%.
- Expected cards: 3.8. Over 3.5 cards: 53%. Referee: S Murdoch, who averages 2.75 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 2 | 23 | W L D L L |
| Livingston | 6 | 17 | W L L D W |
- Stenhousemuir 0–1 Dunfermline Athletic
- Partick Thistle 3–0 Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir 1–1 Raith Rovers
- Livingston 1–0 Arbroath
- Dunfermline Athletic 0–0 Livingston
- Livingston 1–2 Partick Thistle
Meetings this season
- Livingston 0–1 Stenhousemuir (4 Sept)
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Scottish Championship game on our Scottish Championship predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Scottish Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Our model gives Stenhousemuir a 42% chance, the draw 31% and Livingston 27%.
What time is Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
The model puts both teams to score at 37%.