Elversberg vs Mainz Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Elversberg favourites: Elversberg 47%, draw 20%, Mainz 33%. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 UK time (Bundesliga). Expected goals are 2.18–1.82, and both teams score in 74% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Elversberg
- 47%
- fair 2.14
- Draw
- 20%
- fair 4.90
- Mainz
- 33%
- fair 3.04
Elversberg vs Mainz prediction
The model expects 2.18 goals from Elversberg and 1.82 from Mainz. Both teams to score is 74% likely, and over 2.5 goals 76%. The three most likely scores are 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.1 (Elversberg 4.7, Mainz 5.4). Over 9.5 corners: 56%.
- Expected cards: 3.9. Over 3.5 cards: 55%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 8 | 10 | L D L W L |
| Mainz | 7 | 10 | L W L W L |
- RB Leipzig 4–0 Elversberg
- Elversberg 4–3 Augsburg
- Union Berlin 1–0 Elversberg
- Mainz 2–3 Werder Bremen
- Schalke 04 0–1 Mainz
- Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Bundesliga game on our Bundesliga predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 25 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Bundesliga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Elversberg vs Mainz?
Our model gives Elversberg a 47% chance, the draw 20% and Mainz 33%.
What time is Elversberg vs Mainz?
Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Elversberg vs Mainz?
The model puts both teams to score at 74%.