AFC Fylde vs Hornchurch Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes AFC Fylde favourites: AFC Fylde 55%, draw 23%, Hornchurch 23%. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 UK time (National League). Expected goals are 1.87–1.13, and both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- AFC Fylde
- 55%
- fair 1.82
- Draw
- 23%
- fair 4.44
- Hornchurch
- 23%
- fair 4.42
AFC Fylde vs Hornchurch prediction
The model expects 1.87 goals from AFC Fylde and 1.13 from Hornchurch. Both teams to score is 57% likely, and over 2.5 goals 58%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.7 (AFC Fylde 6.1, Hornchurch 4.5). Over 9.5 corners: 61%.
- Expected cards: 3.1. Over 3.5 cards: 38%. Referee: C Jones, who averages 3.17 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 7 | 26 | L L W L W |
| Hornchurch | 13 | 21 | W L W L L |
- AFC Fylde 3–1 Hartlepool United
- Boreham Wood 4–0 AFC Fylde
- AFC Fylde 2–0 Scunthorpe United
- Hornchurch 1–2 Yeovil Town
- Hartlepool United 2–1 Hornchurch
- Hornchurch 2–0 Eastleigh
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every National League game on our National League predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every National League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Hornchurch?
Our model gives AFC Fylde a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Hornchurch 23%.
What time is AFC Fylde vs Hornchurch?
Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
Will both teams score in AFC Fylde vs Hornchurch?
The model puts both teams to score at 57%.