Lille vs Lens Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Lille favourites: Lille 47%, draw 25%, Lens 28%. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:05 UK time (Ligue 1). Expected goals are 1.58–1.15, and both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Lille
- 47%
- fair 2.11
- Draw
- 25%
- fair 4.00
- Lens
- 28%
- fair 3.63
Lille vs Lens prediction
The model expects 1.58 goals from Lille and 1.15 from Lens. Both teams to score is 54% likely, and over 2.5 goals 51%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 8.9 (Lille 3.2, Lens 5.7). Over 9.5 corners: 40%.
- Expected cards: 3.9. Over 3.5 cards: 55%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 3 | 15 | W L W D D |
| Lens | 7 | 13 | D L W W W |
- Monaco 1–1 Lille
- Lille 1–1 Brest
- Lille 1–0 Le Havre
- Lens 2–1 Paris FC
- Troyes 1–3 Lens
- Lens 2–1 Lyon
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Ligue 1 game on our Ligue 1 predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 26 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Ligue 1 result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Lille vs Lens?
Our model gives Lille a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Lens 28%.
What time is Lille vs Lens?
Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:05 UK time.
Will both teams score in Lille vs Lens?
The model puts both teams to score at 54%.