Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Paris Saint-Germain favourites: Le Havre 23%, draw 23%, Paris Saint-Germain 55%. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 UK time (Ligue 1). Expected goals are 1.13–1.87, and both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Le Havre
- 23%
- fair 4.39
- Draw
- 23%
- fair 4.44
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 55%
- fair 1.83
Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction
The model expects 1.13 goals from Le Havre and 1.87 from Paris Saint-Germain. Both teams to score is 57% likely, and over 2.5 goals 58%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 8.8 (Le Havre 3.6, Paris Saint-Germain 5.2). Over 9.5 corners: 39%.
- Expected cards: 3.4. Over 3.5 cards: 43%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 18 | 2 | D L L L L |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 17 | W W W W W |
- Marseille 4–3 Le Havre
- Le Havre 1–3 Auxerre
- Lille 1–0 Le Havre
- Paris Saint-Germain 2–0 Lyon
- Strasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain
- Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Le Mans
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Ligue 1 game on our Ligue 1 predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 26 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Ligue 1 result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Our model gives Le Havre a 23% chance, the draw 23% and Paris Saint-Germain 55%.
What time is Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain?
The model puts both teams to score at 57%.