Bundesliga Predictions & Betting Tips
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Bayer Leverkusen are the model's strongest Bundesliga favourites in the next few days, with a 64% chance of beating Stuttgart. 8 upcoming games are below with win, draw, BTTS and over 2.5 goals probabilities, followed by the projected final table.
Bundesliga predictions: next 8 games
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg vs Freiburg | Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 | 48% | 21% | 31% | 73% | 74% |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart | Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 | 64% | 18% | 18% | 66% | 73% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn | Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 | 44% | 23% | 32% | 63% | 61% |
| Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig | Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 | 34% | 26% | 41% | 55% | 51% |
| Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim | Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 | 59% | 18% | 23% | 74% | 79% |
| Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 | 63% | 20% | 17% | 55% | 60% |
| Union Berlin vs FC Köln | Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 | 37% | 25% | 38% | 58% | 55% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg | Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 | 58% | 20% | 21% | 63% | 67% |
Open any match for expected goals, likely scores, corners, cards and form.
Predicted Bundesliga final table 2026-27
| # | Team | Pts now | Projected pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 17 | 67 | 69% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 17 | 58 | 13% | 68% | 0% |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 54 | 5% | 47% | 0% |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 13 | 54 | 5% | 44% | 0% |
| 5 | Freiburg | 13 | 54 | 5% | 44% | 0% |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 52 | 2% | 30% | 1% |
| 7 | Augsburg | 9 | 48 | 1% | 16% | 3% |
| 8 | Mainz | 10 | 48 | 1% | 15% | 3% |
| 9 | Elversberg | 10 | 47 | 0% | 11% | 3% |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 46 | 0% | 8% | 6% |
| 11 | Paderborn | 8 | 43 | 0% | 4% | 12% |
| 12 | Stuttgart | 6 | 43 | 0% | 4% | 12% |
| 13 | Schalke 04 | 6 | 43 | 0% | 3% | 13% |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 43 | 0% | 3% | 14% |
| 15 | FC Köln | 8 | 42 | 0% | 3% | 15% |
| 16 | Hamburg | 9 | 42 | 0% | 2% | 20% |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 36 | 0% | 0% | 49% |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 36 | 0% | 0% | 49% |
We play every remaining Bundesliga fixture 5,000 times from the model. Ratings for this projection are pulled more strongly towards the league average, so a hot start alone doesn't decide the title. Play-offs aren't simulated.
Current Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | +19 | 17 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 7 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Mainz | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Elversberg | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Paderborn | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Full table, corners, cards and shots: Bundesliga stats.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 25 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Bundesliga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who is top of the Bundesliga?
Bayern Munich, with 17 points from 7 games (results up to 25 October).
Who will win the Bundesliga?
Our model makes Bayern Munich favourites, finishing top in 69% of simulated seasons.
How are these Bundesliga predictions made?
From every result this season: each team gets an attack and a defence rating, adjusted for home advantage, and the model turns those into goal probabilities. Team news isn't included.