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TheyShoot

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach favourites: Borussia Mönchengladbach 44%, draw 23%, Paderborn 32%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time (Bundesliga). Expected goals are 1.73–1.44, and both teams score in 63% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Borussia Mönchengladbach
44%
fair 2.25
Draw
23%
fair 4.29
Paderborn
32%
fair 3.10

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn prediction

The model expects 1.73 goals from Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.44 from Paderborn. Both teams to score is 63% likely, and over 2.5 goals 61%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 11.1 (Borussia Mönchengladbach 6.7, Paderborn 4.3). Over 9.5 corners: 67%.
  • Expected cards: 3.8. Over 3.5 cards: 52%.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Borussia Mönchengladbach183L L L L W
Paderborn138L W L D W
  • Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Hoffenheim
  • FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • Paderborn 1–0 Hamburg
  • Werder Bremen 2–2 Paderborn
  • Paderborn 0–2 Stuttgart

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Bundesliga game on our Bundesliga predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 25 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Bundesliga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn?

Our model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach a 44% chance, the draw 23% and Paderborn 32%.

What time is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time.

Will both teams score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn?

The model puts both teams to score at 63%.

Next steps