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TheyShoot

Union Berlin vs FC Köln Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes FC Köln favourites: Union Berlin 37%, draw 25%, FC Köln 38%. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 UK time (Bundesliga). Expected goals are 1.42–1.46, and both teams score in 58% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Union Berlin
37%
fair 2.73
Draw
25%
fair 4.02
FC Köln
38%
fair 2.60

Union Berlin vs FC Köln prediction

The model expects 1.42 goals from Union Berlin and 1.46 from FC Köln. Both teams to score is 58% likely, and over 2.5 goals 55%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 10.5 (Union Berlin 5.4, FC Köln 5.2). Over 9.5 corners: 61%.
  • Expected cards: 4.2. Over 3.5 cards: 59%.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Union Berlin176L L W D D
FC Köln128D L W L D
  • Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
  • Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund
  • Union Berlin 1–0 Elversberg
  • FC Köln 0–0 Schalke 04
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FC Köln
  • FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Bundesliga game on our Bundesliga predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 25 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Bundesliga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Union Berlin vs FC Köln?

Our model gives Union Berlin a 37% chance, the draw 25% and FC Köln 38%.

What time is Union Berlin vs FC Köln?

Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 UK time.

Will both teams score in Union Berlin vs FC Köln?

The model puts both teams to score at 58%.

Next steps