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TheyShoot

Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Werder Bremen favourites: Werder Bremen 59%, draw 18%, Hoffenheim 23%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time (Bundesliga). Expected goals are 2.58–1.62, and both teams score in 74% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Werder Bremen
59%
fair 1.71
Draw
18%
fair 5.47
Hoffenheim
23%
fair 4.31

Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim prediction

The model expects 2.58 goals from Werder Bremen and 1.62 from Hoffenheim. Both teams to score is 74% likely, and over 2.5 goals 79%. The three most likely scores are 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 10.2 (Werder Bremen 4.8, Hoffenheim 5.4). Over 9.5 corners: 56%.
  • Expected cards: 3.1. Over 3.5 cards: 38%.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Werder Bremen612D W D D W
Hoffenheim109W L L W W
  • Mainz 2–3 Werder Bremen
  • Werder Bremen 2–2 Paderborn
  • Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen
  • Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Hoffenheim
  • Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburg

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Bundesliga game on our Bundesliga predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 25 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Bundesliga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim?

Our model gives Werder Bremen a 59% chance, the draw 18% and Hoffenheim 23%.

What time is Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time.

Will both teams score in Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim?

The model puts both teams to score at 74%.

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