Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Augsburg favourites: Augsburg 48%, draw 21%, Freiburg 31%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time (Bundesliga). Expected goals are 2.15–1.73, and both teams score in 73% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Augsburg
- 48%
- fair 2.09
- Draw
- 21%
- fair 4.84
- Freiburg
- 31%
- fair 3.18
Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction
The model expects 2.15 goals from Augsburg and 1.73 from Freiburg. Both teams to score is 73% likely, and over 2.5 goals 74%. The three most likely scores are 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.3 (Augsburg 5.4, Freiburg 4.9). Over 9.5 corners: 58%.
- Expected cards: 3.6. Over 3.5 cards: 49%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg | 9 | 9 | D L D L D |
| Freiburg | 3 | 13 | W D W L L |
- Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
- Elversberg 4–3 Augsburg
- Augsburg 2–2 Bayern Munich
- Freiburg 1–3 Bayern Munich
- Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg
- Freiburg 2–1 Schalke 04
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Bundesliga game on our Bundesliga predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 25 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Bundesliga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Augsburg vs Freiburg?
Our model gives Augsburg a 48% chance, the draw 21% and Freiburg 31%.
What time is Augsburg vs Freiburg?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Augsburg vs Freiburg?
The model puts both teams to score at 73%.