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TheyShoot

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes RB Leipzig favourites: Schalke 04 34%, draw 26%, RB Leipzig 41%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time (Bundesliga). Expected goals are 1.28–1.43, and both teams score in 55% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Schalke 04
34%
fair 2.98
Draw
26%
fair 3.90
RB Leipzig
41%
fair 2.45

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction

The model expects 1.28 goals from Schalke 04 and 1.43 from RB Leipzig. Both teams to score is 55% likely, and over 2.5 goals 51%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 10.5 (Schalke 04 5.6, RB Leipzig 5.0). Over 9.5 corners: 61%.
  • Expected cards: 2.8. Over 3.5 cards: 31%.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Schalke 04166W D L L D
RB Leipzig512W L W L W
  • FC Köln 0–0 Schalke 04
  • Schalke 04 0–1 Mainz
  • Freiburg 2–1 Schalke 04
  • RB Leipzig 4–0 Elversberg
  • Bayern Munich 6–1 RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Bundesliga game on our Bundesliga predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 25 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Bundesliga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

Our model gives Schalke 04 a 34% chance, the draw 26% and RB Leipzig 41%.

What time is Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time.

Will both teams score in Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

The model puts both teams to score at 55%.

Next steps