League One Predictions & Betting Tips
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Stockport County are the model's strongest League One favourites in the next few days, with a 70% chance of beating AFC Wimbledon. 12 upcoming games are below with win, draw, BTTS and over 2.5 goals probabilities, followed by the projected final table.
League One predictions: next 12 games
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford City vs Huddersfield Town | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 | 33% | 34% | 33% | 34% | 25% |
| Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 | 43% | 25% | 32% | 55% | 51% |
| Plymouth Argyle vs Reading | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 | 33% | 23% | 44% | 63% | 62% |
| Barnsley vs Oxford United | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 20% | 23% | 57% | 52% | 52% |
| Leicester City vs Stevenage | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 41% | 26% | 33% | 54% | 50% |
| Mansfield Town vs Notts County | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 54% | 24% | 23% | 54% | 53% |
| MK Dons vs Doncaster Rovers | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 43% | 26% | 31% | 53% | 49% |
| Peterborough United vs Luton Town | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 28% | 23% | 50% | 63% | 63% |
| Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 70% | 19% | 11% | 42% | 51% |
| Wigan Athletic vs Bromley | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 48% | 25% | 27% | 52% | 49% |
| Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 42% | 23% | 35% | 65% | 64% |
| Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool | Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 | 61% | 20% | 19% | 59% | 63% |
Open any match for expected goals, likely scores, corners, cards and form.
Predicted League One final table 2026-27
| # | Team | Pts now | Projected pts | Title | Top 2 (promoted) | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town | 25 | 81 | 34% | 54% | 0% |
| 2 | Oxford United | 22 | 78 | 18% | 34% | 0% |
| 3 | Stockport County | 23 | 76 | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| 4 | Reading | 21 | 75 | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| 5 | Bradford City | 22 | 74 | 7% | 16% | 0% |
| 6 | Sheffield Wednesday | 19 | 71 | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| 7 | Luton Town | 20 | 70 | 3% | 8% | 0% |
| 8 | Mansfield Town | 18 | 70 | 3% | 8% | 1% |
| 9 | Plymouth Argyle | 22 | 69 | 3% | 7% | 1% |
| 10 | Cambridge United | 21 | 68 | 2% | 5% | 1% |
| 11 | Leicester City | 18 | 66 | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 12 | Stevenage | 15 | 66 | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 13 | Burton Albion | 17 | 62 | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 62 | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| 15 | MK Dons | 15 | 59 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 16 | Wycombe Wanderers | 15 | 59 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 17 | Notts County | 11 | 57 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 18 | Doncaster Rovers | 12 | 57 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 19 | Blackpool | 11 | 56 | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 51 | 0% | 0% | 45% |
| 21 | Peterborough United | 10 | 50 | 0% | 0% | 48% |
| 22 | Barnsley | 8 | 49 | 0% | 0% | 57% |
| 23 | Wigan Athletic | 7 | 46 | 0% | 0% | 71% |
| 24 | Bromley | 9 | 43 | 0% | 0% | 86% |
We play every remaining League One fixture 5,000 times from the model. Ratings for this projection are pulled more strongly towards the league average, so a hot start alone doesn't decide the title. Play-offs aren't simulated.
Current League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town | 12 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 13 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 12 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 6 | Reading | 12 | +12 | 21 |
| 7 | Cambridge United | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 | Luton Town | 12 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 12 | +8 | 19 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 11 | Leicester City | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 14 | MK Dons | 12 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Wycombe Wanderers | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 12 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | Doncaster Rovers | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough United | 12 | -10 | 10 |
| 22 | Bromley | 12 | -19 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic | 12 | -12 | 7 |
Full table, corners, cards and shots: League One stats.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League One result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who is top of the League One?
Huddersfield Town, with 25 points from 12 games (results up to 27 October).
Who will win the League One?
Our model makes Huddersfield Town favourites, finishing top in 34% of simulated seasons.
How are these League One predictions made?
From every result this season: each team gets an attack and a defence rating, adjusted for home advantage, and the model turns those into goal probabilities. Team news isn't included.