Barnsley vs Oxford United Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Oxford United favourites: Barnsley 20%, draw 23%, Oxford United 57%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League One). Expected goals are 0.98–1.79, and both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Barnsley
- 20%
- fair 4.92
- Draw
- 23%
- fair 4.33
- Oxford United
- 57%
- fair 1.77
Barnsley vs Oxford United prediction
The model expects 0.98 goals from Barnsley and 1.79 from Oxford United. Both teams to score is 52% likely, and over 2.5 goals 52%. The three most likely scores are 0-1 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 13.5 (Barnsley 8.5, Oxford United 5.0). Over 9.5 corners: 84%.
- Expected cards: 5.2. Over 3.5 cards: 75%. Referee: O Mackey.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 23 | 8 | D L L L L |
| Oxford United | 3 | 22 | W D W D W |
- Reading 2–1 Barnsley
- Luton Town 2–1 Barnsley
- Barnsley 1–2 Cambridge United
- Oxford United 1–0 Stockport County
- Oxford United 0–0 Bradford City
- Oxford United 2–1 Wigan Athletic
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League One game on our League One predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League One result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Barnsley vs Oxford United?
Our model gives Barnsley a 20% chance, the draw 23% and Oxford United 57%.
What time is Barnsley vs Oxford United?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Oxford United?
The model puts both teams to score at 52%.