Mansfield Town vs Notts County Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Mansfield Town favourites: Mansfield Town 54%, draw 24%, Notts County 23%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League One). Expected goals are 1.74–1.05, and both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Mansfield Town
- 54%
- fair 1.87
- Draw
- 24%
- fair 4.23
- Notts County
- 23%
- fair 4.38
Mansfield Town vs Notts County prediction
The model expects 1.74 goals from Mansfield Town and 1.05 from Notts County. Both teams to score is 54% likely, and over 2.5 goals 53%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.4 (Mansfield Town 5.3, Notts County 4.1). Over 9.5 corners: 46%.
- Expected cards: 6.0. Over 3.5 cards: 84%. Referee: S Stockbridge, who averages 5.50 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 10 | 18 | D W D W W |
| Notts County | 19 | 11 | L L L W D |
- Blackpool 1–4 Mansfield Town
- AFC Wimbledon 0–3 Mansfield Town
- Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United
- Notts County 1–1 Stockport County
- Notts County 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday
- Wycombe Wanderers 2–0 Notts County
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League One game on our League One predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League One result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
Our model gives Mansfield Town a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Notts County 23%.
What time is Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
The model puts both teams to score at 54%.