MK Dons vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes MK Dons favourites: MK Dons 43%, draw 26%, Doncaster Rovers 31%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League One). Expected goals are 1.44–1.18, and both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- MK Dons
- 43%
- fair 2.32
- Draw
- 26%
- fair 3.84
- Doncaster Rovers
- 31%
- fair 3.24
MK Dons vs Doncaster Rovers prediction
The model expects 1.44 goals from MK Dons and 1.18 from Doncaster Rovers. Both teams to score is 53% likely, and over 2.5 goals 49%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 11.5 (MK Dons 6.4, Doncaster Rovers 5.1). Over 9.5 corners: 69%.
- Expected cards: 3.6. Over 3.5 cards: 49%. Referee: A Humphries, who averages 5.67 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| MK Dons | 14 | 15 | L W L W W |
| Doncaster Rovers | 18 | 12 | W L L W L |
- MK Dons 4–1 Bromley
- Stevenage 0–1 MK Dons
- Blackpool 2–0 MK Dons
- Luton Town 3–1 Doncaster Rovers
- Doncaster Rovers 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday
- Doncaster Rovers 0–2 Stockport County
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League One game on our League One predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League One result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win MK Dons vs Doncaster Rovers?
Our model gives MK Dons a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Doncaster Rovers 31%.
What time is MK Dons vs Doncaster Rovers?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in MK Dons vs Doncaster Rovers?
The model puts both teams to score at 53%.