Peterborough United vs Luton Town Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Luton Town favourites: Peterborough United 28%, draw 23%, Luton Town 50%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League One). Expected goals are 1.36–1.88, and both teams score in 63% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Peterborough United
- 28%
- fair 3.59
- Draw
- 23%
- fair 4.44
- Luton Town
- 50%
- fair 2.02
Peterborough United vs Luton Town prediction
The model expects 1.36 goals from Peterborough United and 1.88 from Luton Town. Both teams to score is 63% likely, and over 2.5 goals 63%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.6 (Peterborough United 5.5, Luton Town 5.1). Over 9.5 corners: 60%.
- Expected cards: 3.3. Over 3.5 cards: 43%. Referee: L Sandoe, who averages 3.00 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough United | 21 | 10 | L W D L D |
| Luton Town | 8 | 20 | W L W W W |
- Bromley 1–1 Peterborough United
- Huddersfield Town 4–1 Peterborough United
- Peterborough United 2–2 Burton Albion
- Luton Town 3–1 Doncaster Rovers
- Luton Town 2–1 Leicester City
- Luton Town 2–1 Barnsley
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League One game on our League One predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League One result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Peterborough United vs Luton Town?
Our model gives Peterborough United a 28% chance, the draw 23% and Luton Town 50%.
What time is Peterborough United vs Luton Town?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Peterborough United vs Luton Town?
The model puts both teams to score at 63%.