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TheyShoot

Plymouth Argyle vs Reading Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Reading favourites: Plymouth Argyle 33%, draw 23%, Reading 44%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time (League One). Expected goals are 1.46–1.72, and both teams score in 63% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Plymouth Argyle
33%
fair 3.04
Draw
23%
fair 4.29
Reading
44%
fair 2.29

Plymouth Argyle vs Reading prediction

The model expects 1.46 goals from Plymouth Argyle and 1.72 from Reading. Both teams to score is 63% likely, and over 2.5 goals 62%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 10.2 (Plymouth Argyle 4.7, Reading 5.6). Over 9.5 corners: 56%.
  • Expected cards: 2.9. Over 3.5 cards: 33%. Referee: S Martin.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Plymouth Argyle522W W L L W
Reading621D W L W W
  • Cambridge United 2–3 Plymouth Argyle
  • Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth Argyle
  • Plymouth Argyle 0–2 Huddersfield Town
  • Reading 2–1 Barnsley
  • Reading 1–0 Leyton Orient
  • Wigan Athletic 1–0 Reading

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every League One game on our League One predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every League One result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Plymouth Argyle vs Reading?

Our model gives Plymouth Argyle a 33% chance, the draw 23% and Reading 44%.

What time is Plymouth Argyle vs Reading?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Argyle vs Reading?

The model puts both teams to score at 63%.

Next steps