Newcastle United vs Everton Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Newcastle United favourites: Newcastle United 42%, draw 26%, Everton 32%. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Expected goals are 1.42–1.21, and both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Newcastle
- 42%
- fair 2.39
- Draw
- 26%
- fair 3.84
- Everton
- 32%
- fair 3.12
Newcastle United vs Everton prediction
The model expects 1.42 goals from Newcastle United and 1.21 from Everton. Both teams to score is 53% likely, and over 2.5 goals 49%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).
Newcastle United keep a clean sheet in 30% of simulations; Everton in 24%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 8 | 11 | W L L W L |
| Everton | 11 | 10 | L L D W D |
- Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle
- Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa
- Coventry City 4–1 Newcastle
- Arsenal 2–0 Everton
- Everton 0–2 Chelsea
- Hull City 2–2 Everton
Where to watch Newcastle United vs Everton
Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 UK time. It isn't listed for live UK TV yet; broadcasters confirm their picks a few weeks ahead.
Team news can change the picture. Check our betting news for the latest on injuries and suspensions before kick-off.
How these numbers are made
Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Premier League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence and adjusting for home advantage. Early in the season ratings are pulled towards the league average. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 21:15 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Newcastle United vs Everton?
Our model gives Newcastle United a 42% chance, the draw 26% and Everton 32%.
What time is Newcastle United vs Everton?
Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Everton?
The model puts both teams to score at 53%.