AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Leeds United favourites: AFC Bournemouth 35%, draw 28%, Leeds United 37%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Expected goals are 1.18–1.23, and both teams score in 49% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Bournemouth
- 35%
- fair 2.86
- Draw
- 28%
- fair 3.62
- Leeds
- 37%
- fair 2.67
AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction
The model expects 1.18 goals from AFC Bournemouth and 1.23 from Leeds United. Both teams to score is 49% likely, and over 2.5 goals 43%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%).
AFC Bournemouth keep a clean sheet in 29% of simulations; Leeds United in 31%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth | 13 | 9 | W W L L D |
| Leeds United | 7 | 11 | D D L D W |
- Man Utd 0–3 Bournemouth
- Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland
- Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth
- Sunderland 0–0 Leeds
- Leeds 1–1 Man Utd
- Arsenal 2–1 Leeds
Where to watch AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time. It isn't listed for live UK TV yet; broadcasters confirm their picks a few weeks ahead.
Team news can change the picture. Check our betting news for the latest on injuries and suspensions before kick-off.
How these numbers are made
Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Premier League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence and adjusting for home advantage. Early in the season ratings are pulled towards the league average. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 21:15 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?
Our model gives AFC Bournemouth a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Leeds United 37%.
What time is AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?
The model puts both teams to score at 49%.