Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Brighton & Hove Albion favourites: Manchester City 38%, draw 22%, Brighton & Hove Albion 40%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Expected goals are 1.75–1.80, and both teams score in 69% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Man City
- 38%
- fair 2.63
- Draw
- 22%
- fair 4.53
- Brighton
- 40%
- fair 2.50
Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
The model expects 1.75 goals from Manchester City and 1.80 from Brighton & Hove Albion. Both teams to score is 69% likely, and over 2.5 goals 69%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%).
Manchester City keep a clean sheet in 16% of simulations; Brighton & Hove Albion in 17%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 1 | 21 | L W W W W |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 16 | L W W W W |
- Aston Villa 2–1 Man City
- Man City 3–2 Ipswich Town
- Liverpool 0–3 Man City
- Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
- Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace
- Sunderland 0–2 Brighton
Where to watch Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time. It isn't listed for live UK TV yet; broadcasters confirm their picks a few weeks ahead.
Team news can change the picture. Check our betting news for the latest on injuries and suspensions before kick-off.
How these numbers are made
Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Premier League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence and adjusting for home advantage. Early in the season ratings are pulled towards the league average. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 21:15 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Our model gives Manchester City a 38% chance, the draw 22% and Brighton & Hove Albion 40%.
What time is Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The model puts both teams to score at 69%.