Aston Villa vs Fulham Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Aston Villa favourites: Aston Villa 41%, draw 28%, Fulham 32%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Expected goals are 1.28–1.10, and both teams score in 48% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Aston Villa
- 41%
- fair 2.47
- Draw
- 28%
- fair 3.62
- Fulham
- 32%
- fair 3.14
Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction
The model expects 1.28 goals from Aston Villa and 1.10 from Fulham. Both teams to score is 48% likely, and over 2.5 goals 43%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%).
Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 33% of simulations; Fulham in 28%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 9 | 11 | W W D W L |
| Fulham | 15 | 8 | W W L D D |
- Aston Villa 2–1 Man City
- Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa
- Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford
- Coventry City 0–1 Fulham
- Fulham 1–0 Hull City
- Ipswich Town 2–1 Fulham
Where to watch Aston Villa vs Fulham
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time. It isn't listed for live UK TV yet; broadcasters confirm their picks a few weeks ahead.
Team news can change the picture. Check our betting news for the latest on injuries and suspensions before kick-off.
How these numbers are made
Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Premier League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence and adjusting for home advantage. Early in the season ratings are pulled towards the league average. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 21:15 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Our model gives Aston Villa a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Fulham 32%.
What time is Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Fulham?
The model puts both teams to score at 48%.