Weekend Football Predictions
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Brentford are the model's strongest favourites this weekend, with a 57% chance of beating Nottingham Forest. 9 games are scheduled from Friday 30 October to Sunday 1 November, starting with Chelsea vs Man Utd on Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time.
Premier League weekend predictions
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea vs Man Utd | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 | 55% | 20% | 25% | 67% | 70% |
| Hull City vs Ipswich Town | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 51% | 24% | 25% | 55% | 53% |
| Bournemouth vs Leeds | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 35% | 28% | 37% | 49% | 43% |
| Coventry City vs Sunderland | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 41% | 28% | 32% | 49% | 43% |
| Man City vs Brighton | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 38% | 22% | 40% | 69% | 69% |
| Brentford vs Nott'm Forest | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 57% | 24% | 19% | 45% | 45% |
| Spurs vs Crystal Palace | Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 | 55% | 23% | 22% | 54% | 54% |
| Aston Villa vs Fulham | Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 | 41% | 28% | 32% | 48% | 43% |
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 | 33% | 29% | 38% | 44% | 38% |
Open any match for expected goals, the most likely scores, form and fair odds.
Which weekend games stand out?
- Most goals expected: Chelsea vs Man Utd, with 3.60 expected goals and over 2.5 goals 70% likely.
- Likeliest to see both teams score: Man City vs Brighton, at 69% (fair odds 1.45).
- Closest game: Liverpool vs Arsenal, where the draw is 29% likely.
What time are the games?
Saturday 31 October
- 12:30: Chelsea vs Man Utd
- 15:00: Hull City vs Ipswich Town
- 15:00: Bournemouth vs Leeds
- 15:00: Coventry City vs Sunderland
- 15:00: Man City vs Brighton
- 15:00: Brentford vs Nott'm Forest
- 17:30: Spurs vs Crystal Palace
- 20:00: Aston Villa vs Fulham
Sunday 1 November
- 16:30: Liverpool vs Arsenal
How these numbers are made
Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Premier League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence and adjusting for home advantage. Early in the season ratings are pulled towards the league average. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. The weekend runs Friday to Sunday, UK time. Data updated 30 October at 22:15 UK time.
FAQs
Who is most likely to win this weekend in the Premier League?
Brentford, at 57% in our model against Nottingham Forest (updated 2026-10-30).
How many Premier League games are on this weekend?
9, from Friday 30 October to Sunday 1 November.
Are these predictions tips?
No. They are model probabilities from this season's results. Our tipsters' picks are published separately and tracked in our public tip record.