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TheyShoot

Scottish Championship Predictions

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Partick Thistle are the model's strongest Scottish Championship favourites in the next few days, with a 71% chance of beating Greenock Morton. 4 upcoming games are below with win, draw, BTTS and over 2.5 goals probabilities.

Scottish Championship predictions: next 4 games

Model probabilities for upcoming Scottish Championship games
MatchKick-off (UK)HomeDrawAwayBTTSOver 2.5
Arbroath vs Raith RoversSat 31 Oct, 15:0019%28%53%37%33%
Ayr United vs Queen's ParkSat 31 Oct, 15:0057%27%16%35%33%
Dunfermline Athletic vs Inverness Caledonian ThistleSat 31 Oct, 15:0040%35%26%30%22%
Partick Thistle vs Greenock MortonSat 31 Oct, 15:0071%21%8%29%38%

Open any match for expected goals, likely scores, corners, cards and form.

Current Scottish Championship table

Scottish Championship table
#TeamPGDPts
1Partick Thistle12+1125
2Stenhousemuir12+423
3Raith Rovers12+721
4Dunfermline Athletic12+421
5Inverness Caledonian Thistle12+519
6Livingston12+417
7Ayr United11-212
8Arbroath12-1111
9Greenock Morton11-97
10Queen's Park12-137

Full table, corners, cards and shots: Scottish Championship stats.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Scottish Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who is top of the Scottish Championship?

Partick Thistle, with 25 points from 12 games (results up to 27 October).

How are these Scottish Championship predictions made?

From every result this season: each team gets an attack and a defence rating, adjusted for home advantage, and the model turns those into goal probabilities. Team news isn't included.

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