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TheyShoot

Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Partick Thistle favourites: Partick Thistle 71%, draw 21%, Greenock Morton 8%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (Scottish Championship). Expected goals are 1.80–0.43, and both teams score in 29% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Partick Thistle
71%
fair 1.41
Draw
21%
fair 4.81
Greenock Morton
8%
fair 12.43

Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton prediction

The model expects 1.80 goals from Partick Thistle and 0.43 from Greenock Morton. Both teams to score is 29% likely, and over 2.5 goals 38%. The three most likely scores are 1-0 (19%), 2-0 (17%), 0-0 (11%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 10.1 (Partick Thistle 6.6, Greenock Morton 3.5). Over 9.5 corners: 53%.
  • Expected cards: 3.8. Over 3.5 cards: 52%. Referee: C Steven, who averages 4.40 cards per game this season.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Partick Thistle125W W W D W
Greenock Morton97L L L W W
  • Partick Thistle 3–0 Stenhousemuir
  • Dunfermline Athletic 1–1 Partick Thistle
  • Ayr United 0–1 Partick Thistle
  • Greenock Morton 2–0 Queen's Park
  • Arbroath 1–2 Greenock Morton
  • Greenock Morton 1–2 Raith Rovers

Meetings this season

  • Greenock Morton 0–1 Partick Thistle (1 Aug)

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Scottish Championship game on our Scottish Championship predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Scottish Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton?

Our model gives Partick Thistle a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Greenock Morton 8%.

What time is Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.

Will both teams score in Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton?

The model puts both teams to score at 29%.

Next steps