Arbroath vs Raith Rovers Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Raith Rovers favourites: Arbroath 19%, draw 28%, Raith Rovers 53%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (Scottish Championship). Expected goals are 0.68–1.36, and both teams score in 37% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Arbroath
- 19%
- fair 5.34
- Draw
- 28%
- fair 3.55
- Raith Rovers
- 53%
- fair 1.88
Arbroath vs Raith Rovers prediction
The model expects 0.68 goals from Arbroath and 1.36 from Raith Rovers. Both teams to score is 37% likely, and over 2.5 goals 33%. The three most likely scores are 0-1 (18%), 0-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 7.7 (Arbroath 3.5, Raith Rovers 4.2). Over 9.5 corners: 26%.
- Expected cards: 3.7. Over 3.5 cards: 52%. Referee: G Irvine.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 8 | 11 | W L L L L |
| Raith Rovers | 3 | 21 | L W W D L |
- Livingston 1–0 Arbroath
- Inverness Caledonian Thistle 2–0 Arbroath
- Arbroath 1–2 Greenock Morton
- Raith Rovers 0–2 Inverness Caledonian Thistle
- Stenhousemuir 1–1 Raith Rovers
- Raith Rovers 2–0 Queen's Park
Meetings this season
- Raith Rovers 4–0 Arbroath (12 Sept)
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Scottish Championship game on our Scottish Championship predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Scottish Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?
Our model gives Arbroath a 19% chance, the draw 28% and Raith Rovers 53%.
What time is Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?
The model puts both teams to score at 37%.