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Dunfermline Athletic vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Dunfermline Athletic favourites: Dunfermline Athletic 40%, draw 35%, Inverness Caledonian Thistle 26%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (Scottish Championship). Expected goals are 0.94–0.69, and both teams score in 30% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Dunfermline Athletic
40%
fair 2.52
Draw
35%
fair 2.90
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
26%
fair 3.88

Dunfermline Athletic vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle prediction

The model expects 0.94 goals from Dunfermline Athletic and 0.69 from Inverness Caledonian Thistle. Both teams to score is 30% likely, and over 2.5 goals 22%. The three most likely scores are 0-0 (20%), 1-0 (18%), 0-1 (14%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 9.3 (Dunfermline Athletic 5.1, Inverness Caledonian Thistle 4.2). Over 9.5 corners: 45%.
  • Expected cards: 3.2. Over 3.5 cards: 39%. Referee: J Wilkie, who averages 4.40 cards per game this season.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Dunfermline Athletic421D D D W W
Inverness Caledonian Thistle519W W L W W
  • Stenhousemuir 0–1 Dunfermline Athletic
  • Queen's Park 0–1 Dunfermline Athletic
  • Dunfermline Athletic 1–1 Partick Thistle
  • Raith Rovers 0–2 Inverness Caledonian Thistle
  • Inverness Caledonian Thistle 2–0 Arbroath
  • Queen's Park 2–1 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Meetings this season

  • Inverness Caledonian Thistle 0–0 Dunfermline Athletic (1 Aug)

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Scottish Championship game on our Scottish Championship predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 27 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Scottish Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Dunfermline Athletic vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle?

Our model gives Dunfermline Athletic a 40% chance, the draw 35% and Inverness Caledonian Thistle 26%.

What time is Dunfermline Athletic vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.

Will both teams score in Dunfermline Athletic vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle?

The model puts both teams to score at 30%.

Next steps