Correct Score Predictions Today
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
The single most likely score this round is Brentford 1-0 Nott'm Forest, at 14%. Correct scores are long shots by nature: even the likeliest score in a match rarely passes 15%. Every game's three most likely scores are below.
Most likely scores by match
| Match | Kick-off (UK) | 1st | 2nd | 3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford vs Nott'm Forest | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 1-0 (14%) | 2-0 (11%) | 1-1 (11%) |
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 | 1-1 (13%) | 0-1 (13%) | 1-0 (12%) |
| Bournemouth vs Leeds | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 1-1 (13%) | 0-1 (11%) | 1-0 (11%) |
| Aston Villa vs Fulham | Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 | 1-1 (13%) | 1-0 (12%) | 0-1 (10%) |
| Coventry City vs Sunderland | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 1-1 (13%) | 1-0 (12%) | 0-1 (10%) |
| Newcastle vs Everton | Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 | 1-1 (12%) | 1-0 (10%) | 2-1 (9%) |
| Hull City vs Ipswich Town | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 1-1 (11%) | 1-0 (10%) | 2-1 (10%) |
| Spurs vs Crystal Palace | Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 | 1-1 (11%) | 1-0 (10%) | 2-1 (10%) |
| Chelsea vs Man Utd | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 | 2-1 (9%) | 1-1 (8%) | 3-1 (7%) |
| Man City vs Brighton | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 | 1-1 (9%) | 1-2 (8%) | 2-1 (8%) |
Why correct scores are hard to call
Even a lopsided match spreads its probability across many scores, so the most likely score is usually 10–14%. That's why correct score odds are long, and why value matters more than picking the "right" score.
How these numbers are made
Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Premier League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence and adjusting for home advantage. Early in the season ratings are pulled towards the league average. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 22:15 UK time.