Falkirk vs Celtic Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Celtic favourites: Falkirk 23%, draw 25%, Celtic 52%. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 UK time (Scottish Premiership). Expected goals are 0.96–1.60, and both teams score in 49% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Falkirk
- 23%
- fair 4.42
- Draw
- 25%
- fair 3.99
- Celtic
- 52%
- fair 1.91
Falkirk vs Celtic prediction
The model expects 0.96 goals from Falkirk and 1.60 from Celtic. Both teams to score is 49% likely, and over 2.5 goals 47%. The three most likely scores are 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 12.2 (Falkirk 4.3, Celtic 7.9). Over 9.5 corners: 77%.
- Expected cards: 3.6. Over 3.5 cards: 47%. Referee: D Nicolson, who averages 3.57 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 6 | 15 | D L W W W |
| Celtic | 1 | 28 | L W W W D |
- Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
- Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
- Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk
- Celtic 2–2 Dundee United
- Hibernian 1–2 Celtic
- Celtic 7–1 Hearts
Meetings this season
- Celtic 2–1 Falkirk (29 Aug)
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Scottish Premiership game on our Scottish Premiership predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Scottish Premiership result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Falkirk vs Celtic?
Our model gives Falkirk a 23% chance, the draw 25% and Celtic 52%.
What time is Falkirk vs Celtic?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Celtic?
The model puts both teams to score at 49%.