Motherwell vs St Mirren Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Motherwell favourites: Motherwell 45%, draw 25%, St Mirren 31%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (Scottish Premiership). Expected goals are 1.60–1.28, and both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Motherwell
- 45%
- fair 2.23
- Draw
- 25%
- fair 4.08
- St Mirren
- 31%
- fair 3.26
Motherwell vs St Mirren prediction
The model expects 1.60 goals from Motherwell and 1.28 from St Mirren. Both teams to score is 58% likely, and over 2.5 goals 55%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.6 (Motherwell 6.5, St Mirren 4.2). Over 9.5 corners: 61%.
- Expected cards: 3.8. Over 3.5 cards: 52%. Referee: D Robertson, who averages 3.83 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | 10 | 9 | L L L L D |
| St Mirren | 7 | 14 | L L L W D |
- St Johnstone 2–2 Motherwell
- Motherwell 0–2 Hearts
- Kilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell
- St Mirren 1–1 Hibernian
- St Mirren 2–1 Dundee
- Aberdeen 3–1 St Mirren
Meetings this season
- St Mirren 3–3 Motherwell (30 Aug)
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Scottish Premiership game on our Scottish Premiership predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Scottish Premiership result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Motherwell vs St Mirren?
Our model gives Motherwell a 45% chance, the draw 25% and St Mirren 31%.
What time is Motherwell vs St Mirren?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Motherwell vs St Mirren?
The model puts both teams to score at 58%.