Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Sassuolo favourites: Sassuolo 46%, draw 21%, Fiorentina 33%. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 UK time (Serie A). Expected goals are 2.13–1.79, and both teams score in 73% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Sassuolo
- 46%
- fair 2.16
- Draw
- 21%
- fair 4.84
- Fiorentina
- 33%
- fair 3.02
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
The model expects 2.13 goals from Sassuolo and 1.79 from Fiorentina. Both teams to score is 73% likely, and over 2.5 goals 75%. The three most likely scores are 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.3 (Sassuolo 4.1, Fiorentina 5.2). Over 9.5 corners: 45%.
- Expected cards: 3.8. Over 3.5 cards: 52%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 15 | 8 | L D L L L |
| Fiorentina | 18 | 5 | D L L L D |
- Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio
- Como 2–0 Sassuolo
- Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo
- Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
- Inter Milan 2–1 Fiorentina
- Fiorentina 1–3 Como
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Serie A game on our Serie A predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 29 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Serie A result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Our model gives Sassuolo a 46% chance, the draw 21% and Fiorentina 33%.
What time is Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
The model puts both teams to score at 73%.