Lecce vs Genoa Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Genoa favourites: Lecce 35%, draw 26%, Genoa 39%. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 UK time (Serie A). Expected goals are 1.29–1.36, and both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Lecce
- 35%
- fair 2.84
- Draw
- 26%
- fair 3.84
- Genoa
- 39%
- fair 2.58
Lecce vs Genoa prediction
The model expects 1.29 goals from Lecce and 1.36 from Genoa. Both teams to score is 54% likely, and over 2.5 goals 49%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.4 (Lecce 5.5, Genoa 3.9). Over 9.5 corners: 46%.
- Expected cards: 3.1. Over 3.5 cards: 38%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 14 | 9 | L L W L L |
| Genoa | 13 | 10 | L W L W W |
- Frosinone 5–1 Lecce
- Lecce 0–2 Juventus
- Udinese 0–3 Lecce
- Genoa 2–0 Juventus
- Genoa 1–0 Venezia
- Roma 2–0 Genoa
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Serie A game on our Serie A predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 29 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Serie A result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Lecce vs Genoa?
Our model gives Lecce a 35% chance, the draw 26% and Genoa 39%.
What time is Lecce vs Genoa?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Lecce vs Genoa?
The model puts both teams to score at 54%.