Lazio vs Cagliari Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Lazio favourites: Lazio 68%, draw 19%, Cagliari 13%. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 UK time (Serie A). Expected goals are 2.09–0.78, and both teams score in 48% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Lazio
- 68%
- fair 1.48
- Draw
- 19%
- fair 5.15
- Cagliari
- 13%
- fair 7.81
Lazio vs Cagliari prediction
The model expects 2.09 goals from Lazio and 0.78 from Cagliari. Both teams to score is 48% likely, and over 2.5 goals 55%. The three most likely scores are 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.2 (Lazio 6.3, Cagliari 4.0). Over 9.5 corners: 55%.
- Expected cards: 3.4. Over 3.5 cards: 44%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 2 | 25 | W W W W W |
| Cagliari | 10 | 13 | W D L L L |
- Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio
- Lazio 2–1 Parma
- Juventus 0–3 Lazio
- Roma 4–2 Cagliari
- Cagliari 0–2 Bologna
- Monza 4–0 Cagliari
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Serie A game on our Serie A predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 29 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Serie A result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Lazio vs Cagliari?
Our model gives Lazio a 68% chance, the draw 19% and Cagliari 13%.
What time is Lazio vs Cagliari?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Lazio vs Cagliari?
The model puts both teams to score at 48%.