Juventus vs Napoli Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Napoli favourites: Juventus 32%, draw 26%, Napoli 42%. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:45 UK time (Serie A). Expected goals are 1.22–1.43, and both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Juventus
- 32%
- fair 3.10
- Draw
- 26%
- fair 3.86
- Napoli
- 42%
- fair 2.39
Juventus vs Napoli prediction
The model expects 1.22 goals from Juventus and 1.43 from Napoli. Both teams to score is 54% likely, and over 2.5 goals 49%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 11.2 (Juventus 6.9, Napoli 4.2). Over 9.5 corners: 64%.
- Expected cards: 2.6. Over 3.5 cards: 28%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 8 | 14 | W D L W L |
| Napoli | 7 | 14 | D W L D W |
- Genoa 2–0 Juventus
- Lecce 0–2 Juventus
- Juventus 0–3 Lazio
- Monza 1–4 Napoli
- Napoli 3–3 Roma
- Venezia 1–0 Napoli
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Serie A game on our Serie A predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 29 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Serie A result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
Our model gives Juventus a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Napoli 42%.
What time is Juventus vs Napoli?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:45 UK time.
Will both teams score in Juventus vs Napoli?
The model puts both teams to score at 54%.