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TheyShoot

Bologna vs Monza Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Bologna favourites: Bologna 49%, draw 22%, Monza 29%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 UK time (Serie A). Expected goals are 2.00–1.52, and both teams score in 67% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Bologna
49%
fair 2.04
Draw
22%
fair 4.63
Monza
29%
fair 3.40

Bologna vs Monza prediction

The model expects 2.00 goals from Bologna and 1.52 from Monza. Both teams to score is 67% likely, and over 2.5 goals 68%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 8.7 (Bologna 4.3, Monza 4.4). Over 9.5 corners: 38%.
  • Expected cards: 3.5. Over 3.5 cards: 46%.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Bologna1111D W L W W
Monza167W L W L L
  • AC Milan 2–4 Bologna
  • Cagliari 0–2 Bologna
  • Bologna 1–3 Inter Milan
  • Monza 1–4 Napoli
  • Torino 3–2 Monza
  • Monza 4–0 Cagliari

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Serie A game on our Serie A predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 29 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Serie A result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Bologna vs Monza?

Our model gives Bologna a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Monza 29%.

What time is Bologna vs Monza?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 UK time.

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Monza?

The model puts both teams to score at 67%.

Next steps