Atalanta vs Parma Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Atalanta favourites: Atalanta 56%, draw 23%, Parma 21%. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:45 UK time (Serie A). Expected goals are 1.84–1.05, and both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Atalanta
- 56%
- fair 1.79
- Draw
- 23%
- fair 4.40
- Parma
- 21%
- fair 4.69
Atalanta vs Parma prediction
The model expects 1.84 goals from Atalanta and 1.05 from Parma. Both teams to score is 55% likely, and over 2.5 goals 55%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.0 (Atalanta 4.9, Parma 4.2). Over 9.5 corners: 42%.
- Expected cards: 2.7. Over 3.5 cards: 30%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 12 | 11 | L W L D D |
| Parma | 19 | 5 | W L L L D |
- Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
- Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone
- AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta
- Parma 0–0 Udinese
- Lazio 2–1 Parma
- Parma 0–3 Torino
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Serie A game on our Serie A predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 29 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Serie A result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Atalanta vs Parma?
Our model gives Atalanta a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Parma 21%.
What time is Atalanta vs Parma?
Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:45 UK time.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Parma?
The model puts both teams to score at 55%.