AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Inter Milan favourites: AC Milan 31%, draw 22%, Inter Milan 47%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time (Serie A). Expected goals are 1.58–1.96, and both teams score in 68% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- AC Milan
- 31%
- fair 3.19
- Draw
- 22%
- fair 4.60
- Inter Milan
- 47%
- fair 2.13
AC Milan vs Inter Milan prediction
The model expects 1.58 goals from AC Milan and 1.96 from Inter Milan. Both teams to score is 68% likely, and over 2.5 goals 69%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 7.3 (AC Milan 3.1, Inter Milan 4.1). Over 9.5 corners: 23%.
- Expected cards: 3.2. Over 3.5 cards: 39%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 5 | 18 | W D W W L |
| Inter Milan | 1 | 25 | D W W W W |
- AC Milan 2–4 Bologna
- Udinese 0–2 AC Milan
- AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta
- Venezia 0–2 Inter Milan
- Inter Milan 2–1 Fiorentina
- Bologna 1–3 Inter Milan
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Serie A game on our Serie A predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 29 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Serie A result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
Our model gives AC Milan a 31% chance, the draw 22% and Inter Milan 47%.
What time is AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
The model puts both teams to score at 68%.