Worthing vs Sutton United Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Worthing favourites: Worthing 58%, draw 21%, Sutton United 20%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (National League). Expected goals are 2.00–1.09, and both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Worthing
- 58%
- fair 1.71
- Draw
- 21%
- fair 4.68
- Sutton United
- 20%
- fair 4.95
Worthing vs Sutton United prediction
The model expects 2.00 goals from Worthing and 1.09 from Sutton United. Both teams to score is 57% likely, and over 2.5 goals 60%. The three most likely scores are 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.5 (Worthing 4.4, Sutton United 5.1). Over 9.5 corners: 47%.
- Expected cards: 4.6. Over 3.5 cards: 67%. Referee: H Wager, who averages 4.50 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 5 | 28 | D W W W D |
| Sutton United | 12 | 21 | L D L L W |
- Worthing 3–3 Southend United
- Kidderminster Harriers 1–2 Worthing
- Worthing 5–0 Solihull Moors
- Sutton United 2–0 Aldershot Town
- Harrogate Town 3–1 Sutton United
- Sutton United 0–2 Boreham Wood
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every National League game on our National League predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every National League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Worthing vs Sutton United?
Our model gives Worthing a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Sutton United 20%.
What time is Worthing vs Sutton United?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Worthing vs Sutton United?
The model puts both teams to score at 57%.