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TheyShoot

Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Harrogate Town favourites: Forest Green Rovers 33%, draw 22%, Harrogate Town 45%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time (National League). Expected goals are 1.61–1.91, and both teams score in 68% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Forest Green Rovers
33%
fair 3.05
Draw
22%
fair 4.55
Harrogate Town
45%
fair 2.21

Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town prediction

The model expects 1.61 goals from Forest Green Rovers and 1.91 from Harrogate Town. Both teams to score is 68% likely, and over 2.5 goals 68%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 10.8 (Forest Green Rovers 6.5, Harrogate Town 4.3). Over 9.5 corners: 63%.
  • Expected cards: 4.0. Over 3.5 cards: 56%. Referee: J Durkin, who averages 4.33 cards per game this season.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Forest Green Rovers1518L D D L W
Harrogate Town231W W W W L
  • Forest Green Rovers 2–0 Eastleigh
  • Forest Green Rovers 2–4 Hartlepool United
  • Forest Green Rovers 1–1 Wealdstone
  • Carlisle United 3–0 Harrogate Town
  • Harrogate Town 3–1 Sutton United
  • Woking 0–1 Harrogate Town

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every National League game on our National League predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every National League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town?

Our model gives Forest Green Rovers a 33% chance, the draw 22% and Harrogate Town 45%.

What time is Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time.

Will both teams score in Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town?

The model puts both teams to score at 68%.

Next steps